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A Bayesian approach to solar flare prediction has been developed, which uses only the event statistics of flares already observed. The method is simple, objective, and makes few ad hoc assumptions. It is argued that this approach should be used to provide a baseline prediction for certain space weather purposes, upon which other methods, incorporating additional information, can improve. A prac...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: International Association of Scientific Hydrology. Bulletin
سال: 1963
ISSN: 0020-6024
DOI: 10.1080/02626666309493293